10952 is a Republican stronghold. About 11% of voters here vote Democratic and 89% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 10952 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10952, ~8% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10952 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10952 is the most Republican-leaning.
10952 runs about 90 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10952 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10952. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+89) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 10952 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10952, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10952 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 92%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 91% of households in 10952 are family households, in the top fraction of zip codes. 10952 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 10952, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10952 looks the way it does
Turnout in 10952 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.