10994 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 88% of adults in 10994 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10994, ~40% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10994 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10994 leans more Republican than 59 of 71 neighbors.
10994 runs about 21 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10994 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10994. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 10994 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10994, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10994 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 81%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 10994 are family households, above 86% of zip codes. 10994 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 10994, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10994 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10994 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 10994 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.