11219 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 11219 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11219, ~10% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11219 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11219 leans more Republican than 165 of 171 neighbors.
11219 runs about 65 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11219 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11219. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+88) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 75 points.
Why 11219 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11219, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11219 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 11219 are family households, above 89% of zip codes. 11219 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 11219, NY does.
Why turnout in 11219 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 11219 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 19 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 75% of households in 11219 rent, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in 11219 report food insecurity, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.