92154 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 92154 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92154, ~31% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92154 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92154 leans more Democratic than 7 of 35 neighbors.
92154 runs about 4 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92154. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+19) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 92154 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92154, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in 92154 live in densely developed areas, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in 92154 have never been married, above 79% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 92154, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 92154 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 92154 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in 92154 rent, above 84% of zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 92154 report food insecurity, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.