11238 is a Democratic stronghold. About 94% of voters here vote Democratic and 6% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 11238 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11238, ~58% vote Democratic, ~4% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11238 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11238 is the most Democratic-leaning.
11238 runs about 76 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 11238 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11238, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 11238 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 11238 sits in the top quarter (about 74%, above 98% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in 11238 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11238, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11238 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 73% of households in 11238 rent, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in 11238 have more than one occupant per room, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.