11709 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 11709 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11709, ~27% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11709 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11709 leans more Republican than 76 of 79 neighbors.
11709 runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11709 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11709. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 11709 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11709, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11709 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11709 runs about 35 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 11709 are family households, above 78% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11709, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 11709 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11709 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 11709 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.