11934 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 11934 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11934, ~32% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11934 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11934 leans more Republican than 28 of 38 neighbors.
11934 runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11934 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 11934 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11934, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11934 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in 11934 are family households, above 89% of zip codes. 11934 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11934, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 11934 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in 11934 own their home, about 12 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.