11955 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 11955 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11955, ~35% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11955 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11955 leans more Republican than 13 of 40 neighbors.
11955 runs about 22 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11955 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11955. The south side is the most split-leaning (R+21) and the north side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 11955 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11955, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11955 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 62%, well above the New York average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. 11955 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11955, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11955 looks the way it does
Turnout in 11955 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.