12204 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 56% of adults in 12204 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12204, ~40% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12204 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12204 leans more Democratic than 43 of 53 neighbors.
12204 runs about 30 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12204. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 44 points.
Why 12204 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12204, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 87% of residents in 12204 live in densely developed areas, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 12204 sits in the top quarter (about 35%, above 75% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in 12204 have never been married, above 94% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 12204, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12204 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 62% of households in 12204 rent, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in 12204 report food insecurity, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.