12176 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 12176 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12176, ~23% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12176 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12176 leans more Republican than 37 of 43 neighbors.
12176 runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12176 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12176 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12176, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 12176 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 12176 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12176, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12176 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12176 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in 12176 own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.