12207 is a Democratic stronghold. About 87% of voters here vote Democratic and 13% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 12207 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12207, ~39% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12207 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12207 leans more Democratic than 54 of 55 neighbors.
12207 runs about 60 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12207. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+79) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+67), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 12207 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12207, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 94% of residents in 12207 live in densely developed areas, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 70% of adults in 12207 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 12207, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12207 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 82% of households in 12207 rent, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in 12207 report food insecurity, above 95% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 12207 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.