12420 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 95% of adults in 12420 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12420, ~40% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12420 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12420 leans more Republican than 16 of 33 neighbors.
12420 runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12420 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12420 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12420, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 96% of residents in 12420 drive to work alone, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 12420 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12420, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12420 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in 12420 own their home, about 24 points above the New York average of 76%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 12420 have completed high school, above 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.