12745 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 12745 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12745, ~31% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12745 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12745 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 1 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 28 leaning the other way.
12745 runs about 13 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12745 sits closer to the political middle.
Why 12745 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12745, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12745 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12745 runs about 13 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 12745, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 12745 looks the way it does
Turnout in 12745 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.