12847 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 12847 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12847, ~34% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12847 compares
12847 runs about 14 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12847 sits closer to the political middle.
Why 12847 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12847, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12847 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12847 runs about 14 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 12847, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 12847 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12847 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 12847 have completed high school, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.