12885 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 12885 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12885, ~25% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12885 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12885 leans more Republican than 11 of 14 neighbors.
12885 runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12885 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12885. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 12885 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12885, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12885 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12885 runs about 41 points more Republican.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 12885, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 12885 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12885 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 59%, below 65% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.