24095 is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 24095 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24095, ~19% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24095 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24095 leans more Republican than 20 of 22 neighbors.
24095 runs about 59 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24095 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24095. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 24095 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24095, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
24095 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24095 runs about 59 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 84% of residents in 24095 drive to work alone, above 84% of zip codes.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 24095, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 24095 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 24095 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 24095 own their home, compared to around 70% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.