12810 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 12810 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12810, ~22% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12810 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12810 is the most Republican-leaning.
12810 runs about 52 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12810 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12810 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12810, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 12810 live in densely developed areas, about 31 points below the New York average of 36%. 12810 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 12810, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12810 looks the way it does
Turnout in 12810 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.