12914 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 12914 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12914, ~23% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12914 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12914 leans more Republican than 2 of 11 neighbors.
12914 runs about 37 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12914 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12914. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 12914 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12914, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12914 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12914 runs about 37 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 12914 sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of zip codes).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12914, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12914 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 41% of households in 12914 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in 12914 report food insecurity, above 81% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in 12914 have completed high school, below 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.