12966 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 12966 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12966, ~18% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12966 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12966 leans more Republican than 9 of 11 neighbors.
12966 runs about 54 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12966 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12966. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 12966 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12966, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12966 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12966 runs about 54 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 12966 sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 78% of zip codes).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 12966, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12966 looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 80% of adults in 12966 have completed high school, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.