12965 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 12965 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12965, ~24% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12965 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12965 leans more Republican than 4 of 10 neighbors.
12965 runs about 47 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12965 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12965. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 12965 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12965, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 12965, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points below the New York average of 34%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 12965 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 93% of zip codes). 12965 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12965, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12965 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in 12965 own their home, about 19 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.