12980 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 12980 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12980, ~30% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12980 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12980 is the least Republican-leaning.
12980 runs about 26 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12980 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12980. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 21 points.
Why 12980 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12980, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in 12980 live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the New York average of 36%. 12980 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 12980, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 12980 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12980 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 57%). Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.