13486 leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 13486 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13486, ~19% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13486 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13486 leans more Republican than 15 of 18 neighbors.
13486 runs about 62 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13486 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 13486. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 13486 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13486, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
13486 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13486 runs about 62 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in 13486 is about 94%, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 13486, NY sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 13486 looks the way it does
Turnout in 13486 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.