14031 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 88% of adults in 14031 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14031, ~40% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14031 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14031 leans more Republican than 31 of 44 neighbors.
14031 runs about 21 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14031 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14031. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 14031 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14031, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
14031 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14031 runs about 21 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 14031, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 14031 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14031 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 14031 have completed high school, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.