14206 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 14206 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14206, ~29% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14206 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14206 leans more Democratic than 24 of 45 neighbors.
Politically, 14206 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14206. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+69) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 71 points.
Why 14206 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14206, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 14206 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 45% of adults in 14206 have never been married, above 92% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 14206, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 14206 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 38% of households in 14206 rent, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in 14206 report food insecurity, above 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.