16411 leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 16411 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 16411, ~22% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 16411 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 16411 leans more Republican than 10 of 12 neighbors.
16411 runs about 36 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why 16411 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 16411, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in 16411 are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 16411, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 16411 looks the way it does
Turnout in 16411 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.