16854 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 16854 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 16854, ~30% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 16854 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 16854 leans more Republican than 1 of 21 neighbors.
16854 runs about 31 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why 16854 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 16854. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 16854, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 16854 looks the way it does
Turnout in 16854 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.