19438 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 91% of adults in 19438 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 19438, ~45% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 19438 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 19438 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 33 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 31 leaning the other way.
Politically, 19438 sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 19438. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 19438 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 19438. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 19438, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 19438 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 19438 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 19438 have completed high school, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.