21237 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 21237 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 21237, ~41% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 21237 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 21237 leans more Democratic than 30 of 61 neighbors.
Politically, 21237 sits close to the rest of Maryland.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 21237. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+54) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 72 points.
Why 21237 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 21237, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 21237 is about 42%, about 30 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in 21237 have never been married, above 81% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 21237, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 21237 looks the way it does
Turnout in 21237 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.