21758 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 86% of adults in 21758 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 21758, ~38% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 21758 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 21758 leans more Republican than 15 of 27 neighbors.
21758 runs about 41 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21758 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 21758. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 46 points.
Why 21758 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 21758, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
21758 votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21758 runs about 41 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 21758, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 21758 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 21758 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.