21780 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 21780 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 21780, ~22% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 21780 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 21780 leans more Republican than 10 of 24 neighbors.
21780 runs about 70 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21780 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 21780 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 21780, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
21780 votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21780 runs about 70 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 84% of residents in 21780 drive to work alone, above 83% of zip codes. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 21780 are family households, above 80% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 21780, MD sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 21780 looks the way it does
Turnout in 21780 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.