22102 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 22102 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22102, ~50% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22102 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22102 leans more Democratic than 28 of 118 neighbors.
22102 runs about 33 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22102. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 22102 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22102, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 82% of adults in 22102 hold a bachelor's degree, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 22102 sits in the top fifth on density (about 91%, above 88% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in 22102 have never been married, above 76% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 22102, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 22102 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 22102 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in 22102 have completed high school, above 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.