22193 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 22193 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22193, ~44% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22193 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22193 leans more Democratic than 19 of 34 neighbors.
22193 runs about 24 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22193. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 22193 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22193, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 86% of residents in 22193 live in densely developed areas, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 22193 sits in the top quarter (about 35%, above 76% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in 22193 have never been married, above 76% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 22193, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 22193 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 22193 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.