20112, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in 20112

20112 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 
20112, VA block-group political-lean map
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About 88% of adults in 20112 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 20112, ~45% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

20112, VA block-group voter-turnout map
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Lower turnout Higher turnout
Colorblind friendly off

How 20112 compares

Among zip codes within 15 miles, 20112 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 6 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 27 leaning the other way.

Politically, 20112 sits close to the rest of Virginia.

Politics vary noticeably by block within 20112. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 34 points.

Why 20112 leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 20112. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 20112, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in 20112 looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 20112 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in 20112 own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Nearby Zip Codes

Zip Codes with Similar Populations

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.