22432 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 87% of adults in 22432 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22432, ~37% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22432 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22432 leans more Republican than 6 of 11 neighbors.
22432 runs about 22 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22432 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22432. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 27 points.
Why 22432 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22432, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
22432 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22432 runs about 22 points more Republican.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 22432, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 22432 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 22432 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 22432 own their home, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.