23168 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 91% of adults in 23168 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23168, ~43% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23168 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23168 leans more Republican than 2 of 10 neighbors.
23168 runs about 11 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23168. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 23168 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23168, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in 23168 are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23168, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 23168 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 23168 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.