23324 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 63% of adults in 23324 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23324, ~46% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23324 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23324 leans more Democratic than 30 of 39 neighbors.
23324 runs about 41 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23324. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+81) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 64 points.
Why 23324 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23324, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 94% of residents in 23324 live in densely developed areas, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in 23324 have never been married, above 89% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 23324, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 23324 looks the way it does
Turnout in 23324 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.