23833 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 23833 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23833, ~19% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23833 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23833 is the most Republican-leaning.
23833 runs about 57 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23833 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23833. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 30 points.
Why 23833 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23833, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in 23833 drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 23833 sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 77% of zip codes). 23833 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23833, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 23833 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in 23833 own their home, about 15 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.