23923 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 23923 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23923, ~28% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23923 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23923 leans more Republican than 5 of 11 neighbors.
23923 runs about 34 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23923 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23923. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 23923 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23923, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
23923 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23923 runs about 34 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 23923, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 23923 looks the way it does
Turnout in 23923 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.