27804 leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 27804 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 27804, ~50% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 27804 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 27804 leans more Democratic than 5 of 7 neighbors.
27804 runs about 26 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while 27804 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 27804. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+64) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 87 points.
Why 27804 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 27804, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 27804 is about 42%, about 31 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in 27804 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes. 27804 runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 27804, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 27804 looks the way it does
Turnout in 27804 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.