27851 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 27851 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 27851, ~22% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 27851 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 27851 leans more Republican than 12 of 15 neighbors.
27851 runs about 37 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 27851. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 33 points.
Why 27851 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 27851. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 27851, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 27851 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 27851 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.