27864 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 27864 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 27864, ~32% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 27864 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 27864 leans more Republican than 8 of 12 neighbors.
27864 runs about 6 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 27864. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 83 points.
Why 27864 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 27864, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 83% of residents in 27864 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 27864 sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 77% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 27864 are family households, above 77% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 27864, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 27864 looks the way it does
Turnout in 27864 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.