28638 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 28638 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 28638, ~19% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 28638 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 28638 leans more Republican than 8 of 12 neighbors.
28638 runs about 48 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why 28638 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 28638, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 16% of adults in 28638 hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the North Carolina average of 27%.
Overall lean vs. state and nation
28638, NC leans Republican compared with its state and the country.
Why turnout in 28638 looks the way it does
Turnout in 28638 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.