32040 is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 32040 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32040, ~12% vote Democratic, ~77% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32040 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32040 leans more Republican than 3 of 4 neighbors.
32040 runs about 60 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32040. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+57), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 32040 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32040, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in 32040 drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in 32040 are family households, above 82% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 32040, FL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32040 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32040 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.