32631 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 32631 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32631, ~21% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32631 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32631 leans more Republican than 5 of 10 neighbors.
32631 runs about 34 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 32631 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32631, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in 32631 drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 32631, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32631 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32631 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.