32803 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 32803 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32803, ~43% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32803 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32803 leans more Democratic than 42 of 49 neighbors.
32803 runs about 36 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32803 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32803. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 32803 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32803, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 91% of residents in 32803 live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 32803 sits in the top quarter (about 60%, above 94% of zip codes). 32803 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32803, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32803 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 32803 have completed high school, about 8 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.