32814 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 32814 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32814, ~39% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32814 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32814 leans more Democratic than 28 of 45 neighbors.
32814 runs about 22 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32814 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 32814 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32814, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 79% of adults in 32814 hold a bachelor's degree, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 32814 sits in the top fifth on density (about 80%, above 83% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in 32814 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32814, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32814 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32814 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 32814 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.