32804 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 32804 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32804, ~42% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32804 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32804 leans more Democratic than 35 of 47 neighbors.
32804 runs about 25 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32804 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32804. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 32804 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32804, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 85% of residents in 32804 live in densely developed areas, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 32804 sits in the top quarter (about 59%, above 94% of zip codes). 32804 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32804, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32804 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 32804 have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.