32822 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 32822 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32822, ~26% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32822 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32822 leans more Democratic than 33 of 45 neighbors.
32822 runs about 25 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32822 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32822. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 32822 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32822, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 87% of residents in 32822 live in densely developed areas, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in 32822 have never been married, above 90% of zip codes. 32822 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 32822, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32822 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32822 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 9 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 55% of households in 32822 rent, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.