32949 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 32949 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32949, ~22% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32949 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32949 is the most Republican-leaning.
32949 runs about 29 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 32949 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32949, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in 32949 are family households, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 32949, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 32949 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32949 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 56%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in 32949 own their home, compared to around 80% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.