33170 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 33170 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33170, ~28% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33170 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33170 leans more Democratic than 26 of 30 neighbors.
33170 runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33170 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33170. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+44) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 76 points.
Why 33170 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33170, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33170 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33170 runs about 18 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 33170, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 33170 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33170 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in 33170 rent, above 80% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in 33170 have completed high school, below 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.